College football – Your best betting nuggets for Week 4’s games

NCAAF


Last week, the trends correctly told you to fade Georgia Tech as a road favorite, fade Florida State in conference play and that Troy was dangerous as a double-digit underdog. Fading Kansas as a favorite, however, didn’t work out so well (come on, Rutgers!).

The trend to keep an eye on this week is Tom Herman’s incredible record as an underdog.

Here are the rest of the betting trends that should help you navigate this weekend’s slate.

All lines are courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.


Georgia Bulldogs (-14, 64.5) at Missouri Tigers — noon ET

  • Georgia is 11-1 against the spread in its past 12 games played away from home (road/neutral-site games).

  • The road team is 5-1 ATS in the six meetings between these teams since Missouri joined the SEC.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-7, 60.5) at Wake Forest Demon Deacons — noon ET

  • Since the start of the 2016 season, Wake Forest is 11-3 ATS, with five outright wins in its 14 games as an underdog.

  • The under is 6-0-1 in Notre Dame’s past seven games.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines (-17.5, 50) — noon ET

Boston College Eagles (-6.5, 66) at Purdue Boilermakers — noon ET

Buffalo Bulls (-5.5, 51.5) at Rutgers Scarlet Knights — noon ET

Florida International Golden Panthers at Miami Hurricanes (-26.5, 56.5) — 3:30 p.m. ET

  • This will mark the biggest underdog Butch Davis has been in 199 career games as a college/NFL head coach.

  • The over is 3-0 in Miami’s three games this season (over was 3-10 in Miami’s 13 games last season).

Kansas State Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers (-16, 60.5) — 3:30 p.m. ET

  • Kansas State is 8-0 ATS with two outright wins in its past eight games as an underdog of at least 14 points.

  • West Virginia is 0-4 ATS in its past four games as double-digit favorite in Big 12 conference play.

Tulane Green Wave at Ohio State Buckeyes (-37, 68.5) — 3:30 p.m. ET

Clemson Tigers (-16.5, 51.5) at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets — 3:30 p.m. ET

Kansas Jayhawks at Baylor Bears (-7.5, 55.5) — 3:30m p.m. ET

Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide (-26, 61) — 3:30 p.m. ET

UConn Huskies at Syracuse Orange (-27.5, 76) — 4 p.m. ET

  • The under is 12-3 in Syracuse’s 15 home games under head coach Dino Babers.

  • UConn is 5-15 ATS in its past 20 games, including 0-3 this season.

TCU Horned Frogs (-3, 47.5) at Texas Longhorns — 4:30 p.m. ET

  • Tom Herman is 10-1 ATS with seven outright wins as an underdog in his head coaching career.

  • The under is 8-0 in Herman’s past eight games as an underdog.

  • The under is 17-5-1 in Texas’ past 23 games.

Army Knights at Oklahoma Sooners (-31, 63) — 7 p.m. ET

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at LSU Tigers (-21, 51) — 7 p.m. ET

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-10, 55) at Kentucky Wildcats — 7 p.m. ET

  • Kentucky is 4-12 ATS in its 16 games as a home underdog under head coach Mark Stoops.

  • Mississippi State is 3-0 ATS this season, having covered by an average of 11.5 points in those three games.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-14, 77.5) — 7 p.m. ET

Florida Gators (-4.5, 46.5) at Tennessee Volunteers — 7 p.m. ET

Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers (-30, 58) — 7:30 p.m. ET

Michigan State Spartans (-4.5, 48) at Indiana Hoosiers — 7:30 p.m. ET

Stanford Cardinal (-1.5, 56) at Oregon Ducks — 8 p.m. ET

Wisconsin Badgers (-3, 43.5) at Iowa Hawkeyes — 8:30 p.m. ET

  • Iowa is 3-0 ATS with two outright wins in its past three games as a home underdog. This includes outright wins as a 20-plus-point underdog against No. 2 Michigan in 2016 and No. 3 Ohio State in 2017.

  • Wisconsin is 0-3 ATS this season. This marks the longest ATS losing streak for the Badgers since going six games without a cover during the 2011-12 seasons.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Washington Huskies (-17, 50) — 10:30 p.m. ET



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